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In an entrance test, there are multiple choice questions. There are four possible answers to each question, of which one is correct. The probability that a student knows the answer to a question is 90%. If the gets the correct answer to a question, then find the probability that he was guessing. A. 1 9 B. 36 37 C. 1 37 D. 37 40 Select the correct answer from above options

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Correct Answer - C Consider the following events : E 1 → E He knows the answer, E 2 → E He guesses the answer A → A He gets the correct answer. We have, P ( E 1 ) = 90 100 = 9 10 , P ( E 2 ) = 1 10 P , P ( A / E 1 ) = 1 , P ( A / E 2 ) = 1 4 P ∴ ∴ Required probability = P ( E 2 / A ) = = P ( E 2 ) P ( A / E 2 ) P ( E 1 ) P ( A / E 1 ) + P ( E 2 ) P ( A / E 2 ) = = 1 10 × 1 4 9 10 × 1 + 1 10 × 1 4 = 1 37 =

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